Fundamental / Economic Backdrop (short term)
Short-term macro influences on USD/CHF continue to be dominated by interest-rate expectations, safe-haven flows, and relative monetary-policy trajectories between the United States and Switzerland.
United States:Markets continue to price a dovish forward bias from the Federal Reserve, with expe…
Month: December 2025
EURUSD – 08/12/2025
Fundamental / Economic Backdrop (short term)
Key macroeconomic influences shaping EUR/USD in the immediate term:
US dollar dynamics remain driven primarily by expectations surrounding Federal Reserve policy. Markets continue to price in a softening rate environment into 2026, which limits sustained USD strength unless inflation or labour …
USDJPY – 08/12/2025
Fundamental / Economic Backdrop (short term)
Short-term macro drivers influencing USD/JPY remain centred on interest-rate differentials, risk sentiment and central-bank policy expectations.
US Dollar side: Market pricing continues to reflect expectations of eventual Federal Reserve easing in 2026 following slowing inflation momentum and m…
GBPUSD – 08/12/2025
Fundamental / Economic Backdrop (short term)
Recent macro and economic forces influencing GBP/USD reflect a mix of headwinds and tailwinds — producing a cautious but potentially constructive near-term environment for the pair.
UK side: The British pound (GBP) remains weighed by expectations of monetary easing from the Bank of England (B…
EURJPY – 08/12/2025
Fundamental / Economic Backdrop (short term)
Recent macro and economic influences relevant for EUR/JPY:
The euro (EUR) continues to be influenced by the macro outlook in the Eurozone — modest economic growth, inflation dynamics, and the stance of the European Central Bank (ECB). While there is no strong macro boom, some stability in eur…
CHFJPY – 08/12/2025
Fundamental / Economic Backdrop (short term)
The CHF/JPY cross remains primarily driven by relative safe-haven dynamics, yield expectations, and risk sentiment, rather than growth differentials.
Key short-term fundamental drivers:
Japanese yen (JPY) continues to react sensitively to expectations surrounding the Bank of Japan’s policy n…
GBPJPY – 08/12/2025
Fundamental / Economic Backdrop (short term)
Key macro-economic and policy drivers shaping GBP/JPY in the near term:
United Kingdom (GBP side)Sterling remains sensitive to evolving expectations around the Bank of England’s monetary policy path. Inflation moderation and softer growth expectations keep rate-cut discussion active, which li…
XAUUSD – 08/12/2025
Fundamental / Economic Backdrop (short term)
Gold continues to trade under the influence of three dominant macro themes:monetary policy expectations, real yield dynamics, and global risk sentiment.
Key short-term drivers:
Interest-rate expectations: Market pricing continues to lean towards a gradually more accommodative stance from the F…
XAGUSD – 08/12/2025
Fundamental / Economic Backdrop (short term)
Recent macro-economic and market factors shaping silver:
Global expectations for slowing interest rates in major economies continue to support demand for non-yielding metals such as silver. Lower real interest rates tend to reduce the opportunity cost of holding precious metals, which supports …
USDCHF – 05/12/2025
Fundamental / Economic Backdrop (short term)
USD/CHF continues to be driven primarily by interest-rate expectations, relative yield dynamics, and global risk sentiment.
United States (USD):
Market focus remains centered on Federal Reserve policy expectations, with increasing probability of policy easing in early 2026.
Rece…