Fundamental / Economic Backdrop (short term)
Recent macroeconomic and market-environment factors shaping EUR/USD:
The US dollar (USD) remains under pressure in many markets due to growing expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) may pivot toward easing — this tends to reduce real yields in USD and supports EUR/USD.
The euro (E…
Month: December 2025
USDJPY – 05/12/2025
Fundamental / Economic Backdrop (short term)
USD/JPY remains driven primarily by interest-rate differentials, central-bank policy expectations, and global risk sentiment.
Japanese Yen (JPY): Markets continue to price in the risk of further policy normalization by the Bank of Japan (BoJ) following the multi-year exit fr…
GBPUSD – 05/12/2025
Fundamental / Economic Backdrop (short term)
The near-term fundamental environment for GBP/USD remains shaped by diverging monetary-policy expectations, late-cycle macro dynamics, and risk-sentiment sensitivity.
Key Drivers
Bank of England (BoE): UK growth momentum remains fragile, with services activity slowing and consumer demand const…
EURJPY – 05/12/2025
Fundamental / Economic Backdrop (short term)
EUR/JPY remains driven by the interaction between Euro-area growth fragility and ECB policy expectations versus Japan’s changing monetary regime and rising yield profile.
The European Central Bank (ECB) remains in a cautious-to-dovish stance as Euro-area growth remains uneven and inflation co…
CHFJPY – 05/12/2025
Fundamental / Economic Backdrop (short term)
CHF/JPY remains a safe-haven cross, meaning both legs respond strongly to global risk conditions and central-bank expectations.
Key fundamental drivers:
Swiss Franc (CHF):
CHF remains structurally supported by Switzerland’s macro stability and persistent safe-haven demand.
Th…
GBPJPY – 05/12/2025
Fundamental / Economic Backdrop (short term)
Key Drivers
Bank of England (BoE):The BoE remains biased toward gradual policy easing as UK growth remains fragile and inflation continues to moderate. This limits upside momentum for GBP, especially against yield-sensitive counterparts.
UK Macro Conditions:Soft consumer demand, weak produ…
XAUUSD – 05/12/2025
Fundamental / Economic Backdrop (short term)
Gold continues to trade under a macroeconomic environment dominated by monetary-policy expectations, real-yield dynamics, and safe-haven demand.
Key macro drivers:
Federal Reserve policy expectations: Markets continue to price in a near-term easing cycle. Rate-cut expectations suppress rea…
XAGUSD – 04/12/2025
Fundamental / Economic Backdrop (short term)
Key Macro Drivers
Silver continues to benefit from expectations of interest‑rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (Fed), which is reducing real yields and lowering the opportunity cost of holding a non-yielding asset like silver. Capital.com+2MQL5+2
The metal’s appeal is enhanced by a struc…
USDCHF – 03/12/2025
Fundamental / Economic Backdrop (short term)
USD/CHF remains driven by the interaction between Federal Reserve policy expectations, global risk sentiment, and Swiss-franc safe-haven demand.
US Dollar (USD):
Markets remain sensitive to the timing and speed of Federal Reserve easing.
Softer US inflation traction and moderati…
EURUSD – 03/12/2025
Fundamental / Economic Backdrop (short term)
EUR/USD remains driven primarily by interest-rate expectations, growth differentials, and global risk sentiment.
Key macro drivers:
United States (USD):
The Federal Reserve is expected to be near or entering an easing cycle by late 2025.
Slowing US growth momentum, cooling infl…