Fundamental / Economic Backdrop (short term)
Recent developments suggest a mixed but directionally cautious environment for GBP/USD. Key fundamental factors:
The British pound (GBP) has been under pressure due to growing expectations of a rate cut by the Bank of England (BoE). Markets anticipate easing, which tends to weigh on GBP relativ…
Month: December 2025
EURJPY – 02/12/2025
Fundamental / Economic Backdrop (short term)
EUR/JPY is currently influenced by opposing macroeconomic forces stemming from both the Eurozone and Japan:
Bank of Japan (BoJ) policy expectations:Markets continue to price the possibility of further BoJ tightening after prior indications of policy normalization. This supports the yen by narro…
GBPJPY 02/12/2025
Fundamental / Economic Backdrop (short term)
GBP/JPY is currently influenced by the opposing macro-forces of the British pound (GBP) and Japanese yen (JPY):
United Kingdom (GBP drivers)
UK fiscal policy credibility has improved following the recent budget cycle, reducing some macro risk premium attached to GBP.
However, markets ex…
CHFJPY – 02/12/2025
Fundamental / Economic Backdrop (short term)
Swiss-franc (CHF) and Japanese-yen (JPY) dynamics together shape CHF/JPY’s near-term fundamentals; current conditions show competing pressures:
The Swiss franc retains safe-haven and reserve-currency appeal; Switzerland’s relative macro stability and historically conservative monetary polic…
XAUUSD – 02/12/2025
Fundamental / Economic Backdrop (short term)
Gold (XAU/USD) is navigating a mixed macroeconomic environment with a set of supportive factors, alongside risks that could limit upside. Key fundamental considerations:
Expectations of looser monetary policy from the Federal Reserve (Fed) continue to support g…
XAGUSD – 02/12/2025
Fundamental / Economic Backdrop (short term)
Silver (XAG/USD) currently sits at a crossroads of supportive macro factors and rising headwinds from yield-sensitive markets. Key fundamental drivers:
Expectations of near-term rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (Fed) continue to feed into silver’s appeal because lower yields reduce the opport…
CHFJPY – 01/12/2025
Fundamental / Economic Background (Near Term)
Key fundamentals of CHF vs JPY
The Swiss National Bank (SNB) and the currency’s safe-haven status continue to support CHF. According to a recent provider FX report, CHF remains considered among the top-tier safe-haven currencies, particularly in times of global risk or volatility, and often ou…
EURJPY – 01/12/2025
Fundamental / Economic Backdrop (short-term)
Key drivers for EUR/JPY right now
The recent rally in the euro vs. Japanese yen has been challenged by renewed strength in the yen. The recent comments from Bank of Japan (BoJ) hinting at a possible rate-hike later this month have boosted Japanese yields and boosted the yen. FXStreet+2Reuters+2
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GBPUSD – 01/12/2025
Fundamental / Economic Outlook (Immediate Short Term)
UK side – supportive but softening
Sterling just had a strong “Rachel rally” after Finance Minister Rachel Reeves’ budget, which reassured markets on fiscal discipline and boosted GBP – last week was the pound’s best in over 3 months.Reuters
Now we’re seeing profit-t…
USDJPY – 01/12/2025
Fundamental / Economic Backdrop (short-term)
The biggest near-term shift for the Yen: Bank of Japan (BoJ) has recently signalled a rate-hike in December is now plausible. That raises expectations of higher Japanese yields, which supports the yen. Reuters+2Financial Times+2
Meanwhile, in the U.S., markets are increasingly pricing possi…