Fundamental / Economic Backdrop (short term)
US Dollar (USD) conditions remain closely tied to expectations around Federal Reserve policy direction. Markets currently remain sensitive to shifts in US inflation data, employment figures and real yield movements. Any reinforcement of rate-cut expectations continues to pressure USD.
Euro …
Category: EURUSD
EURUSD 10/12/2025
Fundamental / Economic Backdrop (short term)
Recent macro factors shaping EUR/USD:
The US dollar (USD) remains under pressure as markets continue to price in potential easing by the Federal Reserve (Fed), which tends to reduce real yields and weaken USD — a supportive factor for EUR/USD.
On the euro-area side, economic data remai…
EURUSD 09/12/2025
Fundamental / Economic Backdrop (short term)
Key macroeconomic and global factors currently shaping EUR/USD:
The US dollar (USD) remains under pressure due to market expectations of a more dovish stance from the Federal Reserve (Fed), which tends to lower real yields, weakening USD and supporting EUR/USD.
The euro (EUR) is receivin…
EURUSD – 08/12/2025
Fundamental / Economic Backdrop (short term)
Key macroeconomic influences shaping EUR/USD in the immediate term:
US dollar dynamics remain driven primarily by expectations surrounding Federal Reserve policy. Markets continue to price in a softening rate environment into 2026, which limits sustained USD strength unless inflation or labour …
EURUSD – 05/12/2025
Fundamental / Economic Backdrop (short term)
Recent macroeconomic and market-environment factors shaping EUR/USD:
The US dollar (USD) remains under pressure in many markets due to growing expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) may pivot toward easing — this tends to reduce real yields in USD and supports EUR/USD.
The euro (E…
EURUSD – 03/12/2025
Fundamental / Economic Backdrop (short term)
EUR/USD remains driven primarily by interest-rate expectations, growth differentials, and global risk sentiment.
Key macro drivers:
United States (USD):
The Federal Reserve is expected to be near or entering an easing cycle by late 2025.
Slowing US growth momentum, cooling infl…
EURUSD – 02/12/2025
Fundamental / Economic Backdrop (short term)
The immediate macroeconomic environment for EUR/USD continues to reflect a balance of pushes and pulls, creating a cautious and mixed near-term outlook. Key factors include:
The U.S. dollar (USD) remains under pressure in market pricing due to expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) may beg…
EURUSD – 01/12/2025
Fundamental / Economic Backdrop (short-term)
A key driver for EUR/USD remains the interplay between the monetary policy outlook of the European Central Bank (ECB) and the Federal Reserve (Fed). When markets price increasing odds of U.S. dollar weakness (e.g. rate cuts, softer U.S. data), that tends to support EUR/USD — in 2025 there has be…
EURUSD – 30/11/2025
Fundamental / Economic Backdrop (near-term)
The underlying strength of the U.S. dollar remains a powerful headwind for EUR/USD — strong U.S. economic data, inflation and rate expectations (versus the eurozone) continue to push USD support, which undermines EUR/USD in the short term. DailyForex+2FXStreet+2
That said, there is some mo…