Fundamental / Economic Backdrop (short term)
Short-term EURUSD price action continues to be driven by relative monetary policy expectations and near-term macro data momentum. The US dollar remains sensitive to shifts in Federal Reserve rate-cut timing, with markets increasingly focused on incoming inflation and labour market data for confirmation.…
Category: EURUSD
EURUSD 16/12/2025
Fundamental / Economic Backdrop (short term)
Short-term EURUSD price action remains primarily driven by relative monetary policy expectations between the Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank, alongside risk sentiment and upcoming macro releases.
In the near term, markets continue to price a gradual easing path from both central banks in …
EURUSD 15/12/2025
Fundamental / Economic Backdrop (short term)
EUR/USD is currently influenced primarily by diverging monetary expectations. Eurozone data continues to show moderate improvement in services and stabilisation in manufacturing, but inflation remains subdued, keeping the ECB cautious about tightening bias. Market pricing reflects limited near-term rate…
EURUSD 12/12/2025
Fundamental / Economic Backdrop (short term)
The session is framed by a mixed macro backdrop. The euro area enters year-end with slowing activity in manufacturing and flat services momentum, while inflation trends remain subdued relative to the ECB’s medium-term goals. Rate-cut expectations for early 2026 have softened slightly but remain embedd…
EURUSD 11/12/2025
Fundamental / Economic Backdrop (short term)
US Dollar (USD) conditions remain closely tied to expectations around Federal Reserve policy direction. Markets currently remain sensitive to shifts in US inflation data, employment figures and real yield movements. Any reinforcement of rate-cut expectations continues to pressure USD.
Euro …
EURUSD 10/12/2025
Fundamental / Economic Backdrop (short term)
Recent macro factors shaping EUR/USD:
The US dollar (USD) remains under pressure as markets continue to price in potential easing by the Federal Reserve (Fed), which tends to reduce real yields and weaken USD — a supportive factor for EUR/USD.
On the euro-area side, economic data remai…
EURUSD 09/12/2025
Fundamental / Economic Backdrop (short term)
Key macroeconomic and global factors currently shaping EUR/USD:
The US dollar (USD) remains under pressure due to market expectations of a more dovish stance from the Federal Reserve (Fed), which tends to lower real yields, weakening USD and supporting EUR/USD.
The euro (EUR) is receivin…
EURUSD – 08/12/2025
Fundamental / Economic Backdrop (short term)
Key macroeconomic influences shaping EUR/USD in the immediate term:
US dollar dynamics remain driven primarily by expectations surrounding Federal Reserve policy. Markets continue to price in a softening rate environment into 2026, which limits sustained USD strength unless inflation or labour …
EURUSD – 05/12/2025
Fundamental / Economic Backdrop (short term)
Recent macroeconomic and market-environment factors shaping EUR/USD:
The US dollar (USD) remains under pressure in many markets due to growing expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) may pivot toward easing — this tends to reduce real yields in USD and supports EUR/USD.
The euro (E…
EURUSD – 03/12/2025
Fundamental / Economic Backdrop (short term)
EUR/USD remains driven primarily by interest-rate expectations, growth differentials, and global risk sentiment.
Key macro drivers:
United States (USD):
The Federal Reserve is expected to be near or entering an easing cycle by late 2025.
Slowing US growth momentum, cooling infl…