Fundamental / Economic Backdrop (short term)
CHF/JPY remains primarily driven by safe-haven dynamics on both sides of the pair, making it structurally different from high-beta JPY crosses such as GBP/JPY.
Key macro influences:
Swiss Franc (CHF):
Retains strong safe-haven status amid continued geopolitical and macro uncertainty.
…
Category: Daily Fib
GBPJPY – 09/12/2025
Fundamental / Economic Backdrop (short term)
Recent macroeconomic and global factors affecting GBP/JPY:
On the UK side, the pound (GBP) remains influenced by domestic economic data, interest-rate expectations for the Bank of England (BoE), and inflation/growth dynamics. Given recent mixed UK economic signals, GBP strength remains uncertai…
XAUUSD – 09/12/2025
Fundamental / Economic Backdrop (short term)
Gold remains driven primarily by macro-monetary expectations, real-yield dynamics, and global risk conditions.
Interest-rate expectations: Market pricing continues to favour a lower-for-longer rate profile across major economies. Subdued real yields remain structurally supportive for gold at el…
XAGUSD – 09/12/2025
Fundamental / Economic Backdrop (short term)
Recent macroeconomic and structural factors for silver:
Expectations of lower interest rates — or at least of stable/declining real yields in major economies — continue to support non-yielding metals such as silver. Lower opportunity cost tends to favour precious metals over yield-bearing a…
USDCHF – 08/12/2025
Fundamental / Economic Backdrop (short term)
Short-term macro influences on USD/CHF continue to be dominated by interest-rate expectations, safe-haven flows, and relative monetary-policy trajectories between the United States and Switzerland.
United States:Markets continue to price a dovish forward bias from the Federal Reserve, with expe…
EURUSD – 08/12/2025
Fundamental / Economic Backdrop (short term)
Key macroeconomic influences shaping EUR/USD in the immediate term:
US dollar dynamics remain driven primarily by expectations surrounding Federal Reserve policy. Markets continue to price in a softening rate environment into 2026, which limits sustained USD strength unless inflation or labour …
USDJPY – 08/12/2025
Fundamental / Economic Backdrop (short term)
Short-term macro drivers influencing USD/JPY remain centred on interest-rate differentials, risk sentiment and central-bank policy expectations.
US Dollar side: Market pricing continues to reflect expectations of eventual Federal Reserve easing in 2026 following slowing inflation momentum and m…
GBPUSD – 08/12/2025
Fundamental / Economic Backdrop (short term)
Recent macro and economic forces influencing GBP/USD reflect a mix of headwinds and tailwinds — producing a cautious but potentially constructive near-term environment for the pair.
UK side: The British pound (GBP) remains weighed by expectations of monetary easing from the Bank of England (B…
EURJPY – 08/12/2025
Fundamental / Economic Backdrop (short term)
Recent macro and economic influences relevant for EUR/JPY:
The euro (EUR) continues to be influenced by the macro outlook in the Eurozone — modest economic growth, inflation dynamics, and the stance of the European Central Bank (ECB). While there is no strong macro boom, some stability in eur…
CHFJPY – 08/12/2025
Fundamental / Economic Backdrop (short term)
The CHF/JPY cross remains primarily driven by relative safe-haven dynamics, yield expectations, and risk sentiment, rather than growth differentials.
Key short-term fundamental drivers:
Japanese yen (JPY) continues to react sensitively to expectations surrounding the Bank of Japan’s policy n…