Fundamental / Economic Backdrop (short term)
GBP/USD remains driven primarily by relative central-bank policy expectations, growth divergence, and risk sentiment.
Key macro drivers currently shaping the short-term outlook:
Bank of England (BoE) policy expectations remain leaning dovish, reflecting slowing UK growth momentum, easing infla…
Category: Daily Fib
EURJPY – 03/12/2025
Fundamental / Economic Backdrop (short term)
EUR/JPY remains primarily driven by monetary-policy divergence and risk sentiment, with both currencies reacting to different macro forces:
The Euro (EUR) is influenced by:
Expectations around ECB policy normalization vs. cautious easing, depending on inflation persistence and growth s…
CHFJPY – 03/12/2025
Fundamental / Economic Backdrop (short term)
CHF/JPY is driven almost entirely by relative safe-haven demand and yield expectations between Switzerland and Japan.
Key short-term drivers:
Japanese Yen (JPY):
Markets remain highly sensitive to Bank of Japan policy normalization expectations.
Any hawkish BoJ commentary or su…
GBPJPY – 03/12/2025
Fundamental / Economic Backdrop (short term)
GBP/JPY remains primarily driven by UK–Japan yield differentials, Bank of England (BoE) vs Bank of Japan (BoJ) policy expectations, and global risk sentiment.
Key fundamental drivers
Bank of England (BoE):UK inflation has moderated but remains structurally elevated compared with Japan. The B…
XAUUSD – 03/12/2025
Fundamental / Economic Backdrop (short term)
Gold remains driven by a combination of monetary policy expectations, USD dynamics, real yields, and global risk sentiment.
Key macro drivers:
Federal Reserve policy expectations: Markets continue to price in an easing cycle into early 2026. This keeps real yields capped, which is structurally…
XAGUSD – 03/12/2025
Fundamental / Economic Backdrop (short term)
Silver remains heavily influenced by the interaction between US monetary policy expectations, real yields, USD direction, and industrial-demand sentiment.
Key short-term drivers:
Federal Reserve policy expectations remain the dominant macro input. Markets continue to price in a gradual easing …
USDCHF – 02/12/2025
Fundamental / Economic Backdrop (short term)
USD/CHF remains driven by shifting expectations around U.S. monetary policy, Swiss franc safe-haven demand, and global risk conditions.
Key near-term drivers:
Federal Reserve outlook: Markets continue to price the likelihood of Fed rate cuts into 2026. Softer U.S. yields typically weaken the U…
EURUSD – 02/12/2025
Fundamental / Economic Backdrop (short term)
The immediate macroeconomic environment for EUR/USD continues to reflect a balance of pushes and pulls, creating a cautious and mixed near-term outlook. Key factors include:
The U.S. dollar (USD) remains under pressure in market pricing due to expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) may beg…
USDJPY – 02/12/2025
Fundamental / Economic Backdrop (short term)
Current USD/JPY behaviour reflects a combination of U.S. rate expectations, Japanese monetary-policy repricing, and global risk appetite:
Bank of Japan (BoJ) policy expectations continue to shift toward the possibility of additional tightening or a further reduction in accommodation. Any increa…
GBPUSD – 02/12/2025
Fundamental / Economic Backdrop (short term)
Recent developments suggest a mixed but directionally cautious environment for GBP/USD. Key fundamental factors:
The British pound (GBP) has been under pressure due to growing expectations of a rate cut by the Bank of England (BoE). Markets anticipate easing, which tends to weigh on GBP relativ…