Fundamental / Economic Backdrop (short term)
Key macro-economic and policy drivers shaping GBP/JPY in the near term:
United Kingdom (GBP side)Sterling remains sensitive to evolving expectations around the Bank of England’s monetary policy path. Inflation moderation and softer growth expectations keep rate-cut discussion active, which li…
Author: Fibbinarchie
XAUUSD – 08/12/2025
Fundamental / Economic Backdrop (short term)
Gold continues to trade under the influence of three dominant macro themes:monetary policy expectations, real yield dynamics, and global risk sentiment.
Key short-term drivers:
Interest-rate expectations: Market pricing continues to lean towards a gradually more accommodative stance from the F…
XAGUSD – 08/12/2025
Fundamental / Economic Backdrop (short term)
Recent macro-economic and market factors shaping silver:
Global expectations for slowing interest rates in major economies continue to support demand for non-yielding metals such as silver. Lower real interest rates tend to reduce the opportunity cost of holding precious metals, which supports …
USDCHF – 05/12/2025
Fundamental / Economic Backdrop (short term)
USD/CHF continues to be driven primarily by interest-rate expectations, relative yield dynamics, and global risk sentiment.
United States (USD):
Market focus remains centered on Federal Reserve policy expectations, with increasing probability of policy easing in early 2026.
Rece…
EURUSD – 05/12/2025
Fundamental / Economic Backdrop (short term)
Recent macroeconomic and market-environment factors shaping EUR/USD:
The US dollar (USD) remains under pressure in many markets due to growing expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) may pivot toward easing — this tends to reduce real yields in USD and supports EUR/USD.
The euro (E…
USDJPY – 05/12/2025
Fundamental / Economic Backdrop (short term)
USD/JPY remains driven primarily by interest-rate differentials, central-bank policy expectations, and global risk sentiment.
Japanese Yen (JPY): Markets continue to price in the risk of further policy normalization by the Bank of Japan (BoJ) following the multi-year exit fr…
GBPUSD – 05/12/2025
Fundamental / Economic Backdrop (short term)
The near-term fundamental environment for GBP/USD remains shaped by diverging monetary-policy expectations, late-cycle macro dynamics, and risk-sentiment sensitivity.
Key Drivers
Bank of England (BoE): UK growth momentum remains fragile, with services activity slowing and consumer demand const…
EURJPY – 05/12/2025
Fundamental / Economic Backdrop (short term)
EUR/JPY remains driven by the interaction between Euro-area growth fragility and ECB policy expectations versus Japan’s changing monetary regime and rising yield profile.
The European Central Bank (ECB) remains in a cautious-to-dovish stance as Euro-area growth remains uneven and inflation co…
CHFJPY – 05/12/2025
Fundamental / Economic Backdrop (short term)
CHF/JPY remains a safe-haven cross, meaning both legs respond strongly to global risk conditions and central-bank expectations.
Key fundamental drivers:
Swiss Franc (CHF):
CHF remains structurally supported by Switzerland’s macro stability and persistent safe-haven demand.
Th…
GBPJPY – 05/12/2025
Fundamental / Economic Backdrop (short term)
Key Drivers
Bank of England (BoE):The BoE remains biased toward gradual policy easing as UK growth remains fragile and inflation continues to moderate. This limits upside momentum for GBP, especially against yield-sensitive counterparts.
UK Macro Conditions:Soft consumer demand, weak produ…