Fundamental / Economic Backdrop (short term)
UK side: Sterling remains sensitive to late-week positioning ahead of upcoming UK data releases and year-end liquidity conditions. Recent UK macro signals suggest stabilisation rather than acceleration, limiting fresh GBP demand in the very near term.
Eurozone side: The euro continues to tr…
Category: EURGBP
EURGBP 18/12/2025
Fundamental / Economic Backdrop (short term)
Short-term fundamentals remain relatively balanced, with neither Sterling nor the Euro showing a decisive macro advantage. UK data flow has been mixed, with resilience in services activity offset by ongoing sensitivity to restrictive financial conditions and slowing consumer momentum. In the Euro area, …
EURGBP 17/12/2025
Fundamental / Economic Backdrop (short term)
Short-term drivers for EURGBP remain centred on relative monetary policy expectations and near-term macro data surprises rather than structural shifts.
The euro remains influenced by a cautious ECB stance, with policy signalling still data-dependent amid mixed inflation persistence across the bloc. Rec…
EURGBP 16/12/2025
Fundamental / Economic Backdrop (short term)
Near-term EURGBP dynamics remain driven by relative central bank expectations and data divergence rather than outright risk sentiment.
The euro side continues to reflect a stabilising but low-growth Eurozone backdrop. Recent inflation readings remain sticky enough to keep the ECB cautious on signalling…