Category: EURUSD

Fundamental / Economic Backdrop (short term) Short-term fundamentals remain dominated by late-year liquidity conditions, relative central-bank policy expectations, and residual US dollar positioning after recent macro releases. United States:The Federal Reserve is firmly in a data-dependent holding pattern. Recent inflation moderation has…

Fundamental / Economic Backdrop (short term) US dollar dynamics: The US dollar remains supported by relatively firm US yields and resilient economic data, limiting downside pressure. However, positioning is increasingly stretched, reducing follow-through momentum. Euro area backdrop: Euro area data remains mixed, with growth indicator…

Fundamental / Economic Backdrop (short term) EURUSD remains driven by relative monetary policy expectations and near-term macro data surprises rather than longer-cycle structural themes. On the US side, the Federal Reserve stance remains restrictive but increasingly data-dependent. Recent inflation and labour-market releases have reinforced expec…

Fundamental / Economic Backdrop (short term) Short-term EURUSD price action continues to be driven by relative monetary policy expectations and near-term macro data momentum. The US dollar remains sensitive to shifts in Federal Reserve rate-cut timing, with markets increasingly focused on incoming inflation and labour market data for confirmation.…

Fundamental / Economic Backdrop (short term) Short-term EURUSD price action remains primarily driven by relative monetary policy expectations between the Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank, alongside risk sentiment and upcoming macro releases. In the near term, markets continue to price a gradual easing path from both central banks in …

Fundamental / Economic Backdrop (short term) EUR/USD is currently influenced primarily by diverging monetary expectations. Eurozone data continues to show moderate improvement in services and stabilisation in manufacturing, but inflation remains subdued, keeping the ECB cautious about tightening bias. Market pricing reflects limited near-term rate…

Fundamental / Economic Backdrop (short term) The session is framed by a mixed macro backdrop. The euro area enters year-end with slowing activity in manufacturing and flat services momentum, while inflation trends remain subdued relative to the ECB’s medium-term goals. Rate-cut expectations for early 2026 have softened slightly but remain embedd…

Fundamental / Economic Backdrop (short term) US Dollar (USD) conditions remain closely tied to expectations around Federal Reserve policy direction. Markets currently remain sensitive to shifts in US inflation data, employment figures and real yield movements. Any reinforcement of rate-cut expectations continues to pressure USD. Euro …

Fundamental / Economic Backdrop (short term) Recent macro factors shaping EUR/USD: The US dollar (USD) remains under pressure as markets continue to price in potential easing by the Federal Reserve (Fed), which tends to reduce real yields and weaken USD — a supportive factor for EUR/USD. On the euro-area side, economic data remai…

Fundamental / Economic Backdrop (short term) Key macroeconomic and global factors currently shaping EUR/USD: The US dollar (USD) remains under pressure due to market expectations of a more dovish stance from the Federal Reserve (Fed), which tends to lower real yields, weakening USD and supporting EUR/USD. The euro (EUR) is receivin…