Fundamental / Economic Backdrop (short term)
Key macroeconomic factors currently influencing USD/JPY:
Federal Reserve policy expectations: Markets continue to price in a gradual easing bias for 2026, but near-term US yield levels remain elevated. This supports the US dollar structurally, but limits aggressive upside unless fresh inflation…
Category: Daily Fib
EURJPY 11/12/2025
Fundamental / Economic Backdrop (short term)
Euro (EUR): The euro remains driven by expectations surrounding the European Central Bank’s policy path. With growth across the euro area remaining uneven and inflation showing signs of moderation, the ECB is perceived as approaching a neutral-to-dovish stance. This limits aggressive EUR upside …
GBPJPY 11/12/2025
Fundamental / Economic Backdrop (short term)
Key short-term macro drivers influencing GBP/JPY:
UK macro conditions: Sterling remains sensitive to shifting expectations around UK inflation, wage growth and Bank of England (BoE) policy. With growth momentum soft and inflation moderation uneven, the BoE is constrained between supporting grow…
CHFJPY 11/12/2025
Fundamental / Economic Backdrop (short term)
CHF/JPY remains a pure risk-sentiment and yield-spread cross, influenced primarily by:
Swiss franc (CHF) demand as a capital-preservation / safe-haven currency, supported by Switzerland’s low inflation profile and financial stability.
Japanese yen (JPY) behaviour driven by global risk …
XAGUSD 11/12/2025
Fundamental / Economic Backdrop (short term)
Silver continues to be influenced by a combination of macro-monetary conditions, industrial demand dynamics, and broader risk sentiment.
Key short-term macro drivers:
US monetary policy expectations remain a dominant force. Persisting market expectations for lower real yields and a softer USD …
XAUUSD 11/12/2025
Fundamental / Economic Backdrop (short term)
Key macro-economic forces currently influencing gold:
US monetary-policy expectations remain the dominant macro driver. Markets continue to price a lower real-yield environment into 2026, which structurally supports gold as a non-yielding asset.
US dollar strength vs weakness remains fin…
USDCHF 10/12/2025
Fundamental / Economic Backdrop (short term)
Recent macroeconomic and global factors influencing USD/CHF:
The US dollar (USD) continues to be influenced by expectations regarding the stance of the Federal Reserve (Fed). If markets anticipate rate cuts or a dovish stance, USD tends to soften, which supports USD/CHF downward pressure. Conve…
EURUSD 10/12/2025
Fundamental / Economic Backdrop (short term)
Recent macro factors shaping EUR/USD:
The US dollar (USD) remains under pressure as markets continue to price in potential easing by the Federal Reserve (Fed), which tends to reduce real yields and weaken USD — a supportive factor for EUR/USD.
On the euro-area side, economic data remai…
USDJPY 10/12/2025
Fundamental / Economic Backdrop (short term)
USD dynamics: The US dollar remains sensitive to evolving expectations around Federal Reserve policy into year-end. Markets remain highly reactive to US inflation data, labour-market prints, and Treasury yield movements. Any repricing of rate-cut timing continues to drive near-term volatility in U…
GBPUSD 10/12/2025
Fundamental / Economic Backdrop (short term)
Key macro drivers impacting GBP/USD:
Monetary-policy divergence remains the primary driver. The Federal Reserve’s policy outlook continues to guide USD direction through real-yield expectations, while the Bank of England’s stance remains more data-dependent and constrained by mixed UK growt…